Critical Day Analysis

Our critical day analysis is all about trend reversals.  We tell you when there is a high potential for a reversal of the short trend and we've been doing it since 1994 with an 80%* accuracy.

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CRITICAL DAY

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Stocks, Sectors & Indices

The critical day is based on a broad and constant flow of data which influence the very basis of market activity and trade decisions.  The movement of the markets, where indices fall and rise 100's of points over short periods of time is the culmination of the movement of stocks that make up the indices.  The early identification of short term trend reversals that you will see on the graphs below is the edge that our research gives you.  We tell you when the market is likely to change direction 3 days in advance and we've been right over 80%* of the time since 1994.  We average 5 signals a month. The following list of stocks, sectors and indices are a random sample to illustrate the potential applications for traders in stocks and stock options. 

Click below to see our Signals on a selection of stocks and sectors and Indices.

Application to Stocks

Application for Sector Analysis

Boeing                          (BA)          

Computer Software Index

General Motors              (GM)

Chemicals Index

JP Morgan                     (JPM)

Banks - Financial

Dow Chemicals              (DOW)

Building Materials

IBM                               (IBM)

Aerospace

Texas Instruments          (TXN)

Transportation

AT&T                             (T)

Computer systems Index

Phfizer                           (PFE)

Natural Gas Index

Federal Express             (FDX)

North American Telecom

Veritas                          (VRTS)

Semiconductor Index

Intel                              (INTC)

30 YEAR BOND INDEX

Take a look at these Indices.  Each are plotted with the past critical days on each graph.

Dow Jones Industrials Nasdaq
Philadelphia Semiconductor Index Russell 2000
S&P500 Index S&P400 Midcap
Value Line NYSE
Major Market US Dollar Index

 

A critical day is expectation of a change in the supply and demand in the broad market.  Take a look at how the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index responds with our critical day research.  The candle graph below shows demand and supply changes at a glance.  Follow the flow of the bodies of the candles as they approach a critical day.  Take a look at the trend reversal that occurs after each critical day and then think about what it would be like to know three days in advance when a critical day is going to occur.  Membership information and online processing is available.  Join Now!

Critical Days on the graph below are shown with Blue and Red dots.  The blue dots, above or below the price plot, indicate successful critical days.  Red dots indicate failures.  A successful critical day indicates that the short trend did reverse, as expected by members, going into that period.  You'll notice that the short trend leading into a critical day reverses coming away from a critical day.  In terms of our research, the short trend is identified as the shortest segment of price activity leading into and away from a critical day.  Looking at the flow of candle bodies approaching a critical day and then moving away from a critical day can be a visual aid in identifying what we refer to as the short trend.

Each critical day is known in advance allowing our members to prepare for strategies and to watch for price confirmation that a price reversal is underway or likely to materialize.

To the right technical studies are examined in more detail to provide a sense of conformational evidence for traders of the critical day.  Click on any of the terms to take a closer look at a technical discussion on that topic.  All formations, patterns, indicators and technical tools fail at various times and so should only be used to build a body of evidence in forming a trading decision rather than being solely relied upon.  There are a number of valuable studies that lead to intuitive understandings about price and volume but a strong compliment to technical analysis is an understanding of the trends and changes in the fundamentals and economic activity that ultimately lead valuation levels in the markets.

The period on the graph is from Nov 22/00 to Jan 12/01.  Our full signals since 1994 are available on line for your convenience at Past Signals.  The graph is a price plot of candlesticks.  Over the price plot is a series of red lines put there to help identify the short trend of the market.  The dots are critical days given to members during that period.

You can see that for each critical day, the short trend leading into the critical day, reverses coming away from the critical day.  The critical day can be the first day of a movement in a new direction or it can be the last day of a short trend direction.  Understanding trend reversals and methods of recognizing reversals of the trend can help in determining trading strategy and timing of trading decisions.  In addition the critical day applies across a wide body of stocks, sectors and Indices.

A critical day is an expectation of a reversal of the short trend.  Effectively, the short trend leading into a critical day is expected to reverse coming away from the critical day.  The critical day becomes the peaks or troughs of the short term market when they are successful.  With a success rate of better than 80%* since 1994 we have been able to provide our members with an amazing tool for navigating the short term market.

Most recent signals

A closer view of the most recent signals.  You can see the short trend immediately prior to a successful critical day, reverses coming away from the critical day.  Often a failed critical day will indicate a stronger bias in the market for continuation of the trend that was in place prior to the critical day.  A failed signal can therefore provide as much information and opportunity as a successful one.  Take a look at tech studies to develop a sense of trend reversals and use.

Tech Studies

Advance Decline Line

Andrews Pitchfork

Arms Index

Bollinger Bands

Breakaway Gap

Breakout

Candlesticks

Chart Types

Comparative Relative Strength

Congestion Pattern

Consolidation

Correlation Analysis

Continuation Patterns

Convergence/Divergence

The Critical Day

Cup and Handle

Daily Range

Directional Movement

Doji

Double Top/Bottom

Elliot Wave Pattern

Envelopes

Exponential Moving Average

Flag

Head and Shoulders

Gaps

MACD

Market Volatility

Momentum

Momentum Indicators  

Moving Average Crossovers

Multiple Linear Regression

Neckline

Negative Divergence

On Balance Volume

Parabolic Stop and Reverse

Peaks and Troughs

Point and Figure

Price Earnings

Range

Regression Analysis

Resistance

Relative Strength

Rotation

Short Selling

Short trend

Simple Moving Average

Standard Deviation

Stochastic

Support

Technical Analysis

Trading Bands

Trading Range

Trailing Stop

Trend

Trend Channel

Trend Line

Trending Market

Trend Reversals

Triangles

Volume

Volatility

Whipsaw

Williams%R

Zig Zag

 

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Revised: January 26, 2007 .

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*based on the critical days generated from 1994 to 2000 plotted on the S&P500 Index