Jan05

Critical Day Analysis

Our critical day analysis is all about trend reversals. We tell you when there is a high potential for a reversal of the short trend and we've been doing it since 1994 with an 80%* accuracy.

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WALK THROUGH A CRITICAL DAY

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Jan 05 to June 05

Total number of signals this period : 33

Total number of successful signals this period : 25

Failed signals this period : 8

% of successful signals this period : 75%

1994		1995		1996		1997		1998
Jan	July	Jan	July	Jan	July	Jan	July	Jan	July

1999		2000		2001		2002		2003
Jan	July	Jan	July	Jan	July	Jan	July	Jan	July

2004		2005		2006		2007		2008
Jan	July	Jan	July	Jan	July	Jan	July	Jan	July

Critical days are marked with dots above or below the price. Blue dots represent successful critical days. Red dots are failed signals. A critical day is given to members on average three days in advance and predicts a point in the path of the market at which the short trend will change direction. When a critical day is a success, the short trend leading into any upcoming critical day will change direction coming away from the critical day. Wouldn't you like to know when to expect the peaks and valleys of the short term market? We average 5 signals a month and since 1994 our critical day research has had better than 80%* success rate. What if you knew tomorrows market today? Could you make money? Join now!

The Most recent Critical Days on the graph below are shown with Blue and Red dots. The blue dots, above or below the price plot, indicate successful critical days. Red dots indicate failures. A successful critical day indicates that the short trend did reverse, as expected by members, going into that period. When looking at the trend, look at the smallest segment of candle bodies leading into the critical day and look at the reversal of the candle bodies leading away from the critical day. The placement of the dots are for visual clarity and is not meant to indicate direction. The key function of the critical day is to indicate the possibility of a reversal of the short trend leading into the critical day. With market volatility this can produce some amazing opportunities.

Walk through a critical day

The graphs show a price plot of the Dow Jones Industrials from Sept 28/00 to early November. The First graph ends on November 3/00, two days before an upcoming critical day on November 7/00. Our members looking at the market are expecting a trend reversal to occur due to the high rate of success in our research. Ideally a member will be using their own skills to judge the supply and demand changes, using technical and fundamental indications to confirm suspicions of a reversal, and trade accordingly.
On the second graph we see that the price action on November 6 was a bullish day, reversing the short trend so that the short trend leading into the critical day is now up. A critical day is an expectation of a reversal of the short trend that immediately precedes the critical day. In the case of the November 7 signal, given to members 3 days before, is an indication that the upward moving trend, recognized at the close of November 6 is expected to reverse direction.
On the third graph we can see that November 7 was a low volatility after a large gain on November 6 of about 160 points for the Dow Jones Industrials. The subsequent move over the three days following the November 7 signal saw the Dow Jones Industrials fall 376 points. The next day, November 13, the Dow Jones Industrials lost an additional 83 points with intra-day low a full 609 point loss since the open on the critical day.

Most recent signals

A closer view of the most recent signals. You can see the short trend immediately prior to a successful critical day, reverses coming away from the critical day. Often a failed critical day will indicate a stronger bias in the market for continuation of the trend that was in place prior to the critical day. A failed signal can therefore provide as much information and opportunity as a successful one. Take a look at tech studies to develop a sense of trend reversals and use.

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Disclaimer

*based on the critical days generated from 1994 to 2000 plotted on the S&P500 Index