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Critical Day Analysis

Our critical day analysis is all about trend reversals. We tell you when there is a high potential for a reversal of the short trend and we've been doing it since 1994 with an 80%* accuracy.

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WALK THROUGH A CRITICAL DAY

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Cost - Our members pay $30.00 USD/Month for membership. Members can pay using credit card and now direct through your checking account on some US banks. Fees are charged monthly to your payment instructions and you can cancel membership at any time.

A members view

First and foremost, members have access to the fruit of our research. We call it the "critical day". Our members call it their "edge". Through a continuous collection, weighing, processing and manipulating of data with our own developed methodologies and applications we are able to forecast with a high historical success pivot points in the short term market. These are peaks and valleys of price trend movement from week to week. Critical days have potential application across many markets, sectors and stocks.

Traders pit - Focus is on the upcoming critical days with relation to fundamental and technical information as well as the market data in general. The focus here is a traders view of supply and demand.

The critical day - This area is devoted to critical days. A critical day is given to members on average 3 days in advance. We average 5 critical days a month. A critical day is an expectation of a reversal of the shortest segment of price trend found on end of day graphs of the major U.S. Indices. We tell you when to expect the direction of the markets to reverse. This section is focused on defining a critical day, understanding trading opportunities and recent critical day data.

Technical Analysis - This is a discussion area updated with daily and weekly commentaries on technical analysis and can contains a look at the major indices, support/resistance, and other technical evidence of price trend development. We do not archive the information we post here, so members are asked to print the section if they want to keep any of the information they find here for reference.

Economy - This is a discussion area updated with daily commentaries on fundamental trends and economic data, reports and analysis. We do not archive the information that we post here, so members are asked to print the section if they want to keep any of the information they find here for reference.

Stocks - A look at selected stocks that are members of the major indices and the market with a focus on technical studies and overall trends and systemic (market) risk.

Options - A look at options

Futures - Important information for futures traders.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) - An area for common questions or comments. This area can not only save you time but can also expose you to idea's or circumstance about which you may not have been aware.

Past signals - The historical "critical days" are depicted on graphs in 6 month segments for easy viewing. Our members are recommended to review past signals when developing trading strategies to help them better understand the variety of market action and market dynamics that can occur around a critical day.

Links - The area is used by our members to explore other sites on the web to aid in trading decisions and market research. There are many sites for research on a wide variety of market area's.

Markets - Provided by Barchart.com, this section contains current market quotes, stats, fundamentals, opinions and charts.

A look at some examples of critical day applications

Application to Stocks	Application for Sector Analysis
Boeing (BA)	Computer Software Index
General Motors (GM)	Chemicals Index
JP Morgan (JPM)	Banks - Financial
Dow Chemicals (DOW)	Building Materials
IBM (IBM)	Aerospace
Texas Instruments (TXN)	Transportation
AT&T (T)	Computer systems Index
Phfizer (PFE)	Natural Gas Index
Federal Express (FDX)	North American Telecom
Veritas (VRTS)	Semiconductor Index
Intel (INTC)	30 YEAR BOND INDEX
Take a look at these Indices. Each are plotted with the past critical days on each graph.
Dow Jones Industrials	Nasdaq
Philadelphia Semiconductor Index	Russell 2000
S&P500 Index	S&P400 Midcap
Value Line	NYSE
Major Market	Bonds

Walk through a critical day

The graphs show a price plot of the Dow Jones Industrials from Sept 28/00 to early November. The First graph ends on November 3/00, two days before an upcoming critical day on November 7/00. Our members looking at the market are expecting a trend reversal to occur due to the high rate of success in our research. Ideally a member will be using their own skills to judge the supply and demand changes, using technical and fundamental indications to confirm suspicions of a reversal, and trade accordingly.
On the second graph we see that the price action on November 6 was a bullish day, reversing the short trend so that the short trend leading into the critical day is now up. A critical day is an expectation of a reversal of the short trend that immediately precedes the critical day. In the case of the November 7 signal, given to members 3 days before, is an indication that the upward moving trend, recognized at the close of November 6 is expected to reverse direction.
On the third graph we can see that November 7 was a low volatility after a large gain on November 6 of about 160 points for the Dow Jones Industrials. The subsequent move over the three days following the November 7 signal saw the Dow Jones Industrials fall 376 points. The next day, November 13, the Dow Jones Industrials lost an additional 83 points with intra-day low a full 609 point loss since the open on the critical day.

Most recent signals

A closer view of the most recent signals. You can see the short trend immediately prior to a successful critical day, reverses coming away from the critical day. Often a failed critical day will indicate a stronger bias in the market for continuation of the trend that was in place prior to the critical day. A failed signal can therefore provide as much information and opportunity as a successful one. Take a look at tech studies to develop a sense of trend reversals and use.

Tech Studies

Comparative Relative Strength

Congestion Pattern

Consolidation