Natural Gas Index at Trade10.com- The science of trading market momentum for stocks, options, futures and bonds.

Critical Day Analysis

Our critical day analysis is all about trend reversals. We tell you when there is a high potential for a reversal of the short trend and we've been doing it since 1994 with an 80%* accuracy.

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Natural Gas

The graph below is one of several chosen at random located on the site. It depicts a historical period of price and critical days are shown on the graph with Blue and Red dots. The blue dots, above or below the price plot, indicate successful critical days. Red dots indicate failures. A successful critical day indicates that the short trend leading into the critical day reversed coming away from the critical day. The short trend for the purposes of our research is the smallest segment of price directly before and after a critical day. The purpose of putting the graphs on site is to give indication of the possible uses and potential limitations of our research for application to stocks. Our research is based on the broader aspects of supply and demand in the market place, and generally if the major U.S. Indices changes direction, some sectors must be moving in the same direction as the Indices. When looking at sectors it is important to remember that industry specific news can result in price behavior that is quite different from the rest of the markets. Our critical day analysis is not meant to be construed as investment advice or buy or sell indications but merely an informational tool that can provide a sense of systemic (market) risk by indicating when an approaching day may signal a directional change in the overall short segment of the price trend of the market. Critical days do fail and should not be relied upon in making investment decisions.

Chart of Natural Gas Sector with signals.

A look at other examples

Application to Stocks	Application for Sector Analysis
Boeing (BA)	Computer Software Index
General Motors (GM)	Chemicals Index
JP Morgan (JPM)	Banks - Financial
Dow Chemicals (DOW)	Energy
IBM (IBM)	Telecommunications
Texas Instruments (TXN)	Transportation
AT&T (T)	Computer systems Index
Phfizer (PFE)	Natural Gas Index
Federal Express (FDX)	North American Telecom
Veritas (VRTS)	Semiconductor Index
Intel (INTC)	30 YEAR BOND INDEX
Take a look at these Indices. Each are plotted with the past critical days on each graph.
Dow Jones Industrials	Nasdaq
Philadelphia Semiconductor Index	Russell 2000
S&P500 Index	S&P400 Midcap
Value Line	NYSE
Major Market	Bonds

Most recent signals

A closer view of the most recent signals. You can see the short trend immediately prior to a successful critical day, reverses coming away from the critical day. Often a failed critical day will indicate a stronger bias in the market for continuation of the trend that was in place prior to the critical day. A failed signal can therefore provide as much information and opportunity as a successful one. Take a look at tech studies to develop a sense of trend reversals and use.